Saturday 30 September 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
37%
31%
32%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
32.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Bologna | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 7.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.0% | 5.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 14.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Genoa / Bologna | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
11.2
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
14.2
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-2
Bologna
Sep 2025
Bologna
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Bologna
1-3
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
2-2
Bologna
May 2024
Genoa
2-0
Bologna
Jan 2024
Bologna
1-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.