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Sunday 24 September 2017, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
73% 17% 9%
Home win
73.3%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
9.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 73.3% 1.36
Draw 17.2% 5.82
Genoa 9.5% 10.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.52
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.88
Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.5% 2.59
Over 3.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 3.5 60.8% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.5% 4.66
Under 4.5 78.5% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 90.5% 1.10
Inter / Genoa 82.8% 1.21
Draw / Genoa 26.7% 3.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
2.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
9.6
8.2
2.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.1
9.3
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.8
7.5
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
5.9
4.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.