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Tuesday 19 September 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
20% 25% 55%
Home win
20.4%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
54.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 20.4% 4.90
Draw 24.7% 4.04
Inter 54.8% 1.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.24
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.8% 3.35
Under 3.5 70.2% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.87
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 45.2% 2.21
Bologna / Inter 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Inter 79.6% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
10.5
9.9
5.8
2.6
0.9
1
5.6
11.8
9.8
5.8
2.5
0.9
2
3.1
5.5
4.9
2.9
1.3
0.4
3
1.0
1.8
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.