Sunday 10 September 2017, 13:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
55%
24%
21%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
21.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Spal | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Inter / Spal | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
5.0
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
11.2
|
5.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.9
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
6.2
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
0-4
Inter
Dec 2019
Inter
2-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Inter
2-0
Spal
Oct 2018
Spal
1-2
Inter
Jan 2018
Spal
1-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.