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Sunday 21 May 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
1–3
HT 1–2
51% 23% 26%
Home win
51.1%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 51.1% 1.96
Draw 22.8% 4.40
Inter 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.63
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.08
Over 2.5 66.0% 1.51
Under 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 3.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 3.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 4.5 74.4% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.6% 1.52
No 34.4% 2.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 73.9% 1.35
Lazio / Inter 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Inter 48.9% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
4.1
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
1
6.1
9.9
6.5
3.0
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
9.4
6.5
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
4.5
6.3
4.4
2.0
0.7
0.2
4
2.2
3.1
2.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
5
0.9
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.