Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
56%
25%
19%
Home win
56.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
19.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Lazio / Sampdoria | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
11.8
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
1-1
Lazio
May 2022
Lazio
2-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Lazio
Feb 2021
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.