Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
19%
25%
55%
Home win
19.3%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
55.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Lazio | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Genoa / Lazio | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
11.8
|
10.6
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
12.1
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.2
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lazio
3-2
Genoa
Sep 2025
Genoa
0-3
Lazio
Apr 2025
Genoa
0-2
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Apr 2024
Genoa
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2023
Lazio
0-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.