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Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:00 Carlo Castellani Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
32% 34% 34%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
33.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 32.3% 3.09
Draw 33.9% 2.95
Genoa 33.8% 2.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.5% 6.06
Over 1.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 1.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 2.5 28.3% 3.53
Under 2.5 71.7% 1.40
Over 3.5 11.7% 8.53
Under 3.5 88.3% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.0% 24.81
Under 4.5 96.0% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 66.2% 1.51
Empoli / Genoa 66.1% 1.51
Draw / Genoa 67.7% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.5
13.9
6.9
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.5
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
6.5
6.1
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.