Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
32%
34%
34%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
33.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Genoa | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.5% | 6.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 24.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Empoli / Genoa | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.5
|
13.9
|
6.9
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.5
|
14.3
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Dec 2024
Empoli
1-2
Genoa
Feb 2024
Empoli
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Mar 2022
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Nov 2021
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.