Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
44%
26%
30%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
30.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Genoa / Sassuolo | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
6.3
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
12.0
|
7.4
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.2
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.0
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Nov 2025
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
May 2024
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
Jan 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
Genoa
Oct 2021
Genoa
2-2
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.