Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
61%
22%
16%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
16.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Genoa | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Genoa | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
10.7
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
6.5
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
0-0
Genoa
Nov 2025
Genoa
2-2
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
2-1
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
0-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2024
Fiorentina
1-1
Genoa
Aug 2023
Genoa
1-4
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.