Sunday 26 February 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Bologna | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Genoa / Bologna | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
13.9
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-2
Bologna
Sep 2025
Bologna
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Bologna
1-3
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
2-2
Bologna
May 2024
Genoa
2-0
Bologna
Jan 2024
Bologna
1-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.