Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:45
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
24%
26%
50%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
49.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Napoli | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Bologna / Napoli | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
10.4
|
9.0
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
6.3
|
5.1
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.2
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Napoli
2-3
Bologna
Nov 2025
Bologna
2-0
Napoli
Apr 2025
Bologna
1-1
Napoli
Aug 2024
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
May 2024
Napoli
0-2
Bologna
Sep 2023
Bologna
0-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.