Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
43%
26%
31%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
31.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Bologna | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Bologna | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
6.9
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
12.4
|
7.6
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.0
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.7
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bologna
0-0
Cagliari
Oct 2025
Cagliari
0-2
Bologna
Mar 2025
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
Oct 2024
Cagliari
0-2
Bologna
Jan 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Sep 2023
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.