Sunday 12 February 2017, 19:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
51%
29%
20%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Bologna | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Bologna | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
8.0
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.0
|
13.1
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
8.7
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
Oct 2022
Bologna
1-1
Sampdoria
Apr 2022
Bologna
2-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2021
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
Mar 2021
Bologna
3-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.