Sunday 15 January 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
54%
30%
17%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
16.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Empoli | 16.6% | 6.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| No | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Empoli | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.8
|
8.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.2
|
12.4
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
7.8
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Sampdoria
1-1
Empoli
Jan 2023
Empoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Feb 2022
Sampdoria
2-0
Empoli
Sep 2021
Empoli
0-3
Sampdoria
May 2019
Sampdoria
1-2
Empoli
Dec 2018
Empoli
2-4
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.