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Sunday 4 December 2016, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
54% 27% 19%
Home win
54.0%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
18.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 54.0% 1.85
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Empoli 18.7% 5.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.37
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.6% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.4% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.2% 4.95
Under 3.5 79.8% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.83
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 81.3% 1.23
Sassuolo / Empoli 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Empoli 46.0% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
7.1
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.4
12.6
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
9.1
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.8
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.