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Saturday 7 January 2017, 19:00 Carlo Castellani Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
39% 32% 29%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
29.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 38.5% 2.60
Draw 32.5% 3.08
Palermo 29.0% 3.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 1.5 59.6% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.4% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.75
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.50
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 71.0% 1.41
Empoli / Palermo 67.5% 1.48
Draw / Palermo 61.5% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
11.6
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
14.1
14.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.1
7.2
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.9
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.