Skip to content
Sunday 4 December 2016, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
70% 20% 10%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
9.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 70.1% 1.43
Draw 20.0% 5.01
Palermo 9.9% 10.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.07
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.18
Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.1% 3.44
Under 3.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.13
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.37
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 90.1% 1.11
Fiorentina / Palermo 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Palermo 29.9% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
3.7
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
13.1
9.4
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.1
9.2
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.8
6.3
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.