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Sunday 28 May 2017, 21:45 Renzo Barbera Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
36% 31% 32%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 36.2% 2.76
Draw 31.3% 3.19
Empoli 32.5% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.86
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.8% 2.80
Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 6.01
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.42
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Palermo / Empoli 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Empoli 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
11.4
6.3
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
12.3
14.3
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.2
7.4
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
2.6
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.