Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
18%
27%
55%
Home win
18.2%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
55.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Empoli / Atalanta | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
13.9
|
11.6
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.4
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
4.7
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Empoli
0-5
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
3-2
Empoli
Apr 2024
Atalanta
2-0
Empoli
Oct 2023
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2023
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Oct 2022
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.