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Sunday 14 May 2017, 16:00 Sant'Elia Full time
3–2
HT 3–0
53% 26% 21%
Home win
52.9%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 52.9% 1.89
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Empoli 21.2% 4.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.36
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.85
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.12
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 78.8% 1.27
Cagliari / Empoli 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Empoli 47.1% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
6.4
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
11.5
12.4
5.6
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.6
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.5
5.3
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.3
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.