Saturday 6 May 2017, 19:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
79%
13%
8%
Home win
79.2%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
7.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 7.9% | 12.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 47.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Napoli / Cagliari | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.0
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.7
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli
Aug 2025
Napoli
1-0
Cagliari
May 2025
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-4
Napoli
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.