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Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00 Dacia Arena Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
53% 24% 23%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 53.2% 1.88
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Cagliari 23.1% 4.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 19.04
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.48
Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 3.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 3.5 63.1% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.7% 5.08
Under 4.5 80.3% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.5% 1.68
No 40.5% 2.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Udinese / Cagliari 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Cagliari 46.8% 2.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
4.9
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
8.1
11.0
6.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.8
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
5.2
6.2
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.5
2.9
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
0.9
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.