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Sunday 9 April 2017, 16:00 Dacia Arena Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
56% 25% 18%
Home win
56.1%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
18.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 56.1% 1.78
Draw 25.5% 3.93
Genoa 18.5% 5.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.73
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.96
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.69
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.8% 2.09
No 52.2% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 81.5% 1.23
Udinese / Genoa 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Genoa 43.9% 2.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
6.1
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
12.5
12.1
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.1
9.6
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
6.2
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.