Saturday 11 March 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
32%
29%
38%
Home win
32.4%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
38.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Genoa / Sampdoria | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
10.9
|
7.2
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.9
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
7.4
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
1-0
Genoa
Dec 2021
Genoa
1-3
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Dec 2019
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.