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Sunday 9 April 2017, 16:00 Sant'Elia Full time
2–3
HT 1–2
33% 21% 45%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
45.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 33.3% 3.01
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Torino 45.3% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 42.54
Over 1.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.0% 11.10
Over 2.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 2.5 24.4% 4.10
Over 3.5 55.9% 1.79
Under 3.5 44.1% 2.27
Over 4.5 36.3% 2.75
Under 4.5 63.7% 1.57

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 74.4% 1.34
No 25.6% 3.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 54.7% 1.83
Cagliari / Torino 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Torino 66.7% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
3.6
4.3
3.1
1.7
0.7
1
3.0
7.9
7.9
5.6
3.0
1.3
2
3.2
6.8
7.2
5.2
2.8
1.2
3
1.9
4.1
4.4
3.1
1.7
0.7
4
0.9
1.9
2.0
1.4
0.8
0.3
5
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.