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Monday 13 March 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–1
HT 0–0
56% 21% 23%
Home win
56.1%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 56.1% 1.78
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Torino 22.6% 4.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.09
Over 1.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.4% 8.09
Over 2.5 69.2% 1.45
Under 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Over 3.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 3.5 52.2% 1.92
Over 4.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 4.5 71.2% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.7% 1.50
No 33.3% 3.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Lazio / Torino 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Torino 43.9% 2.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
3.3
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
1
5.7
9.0
5.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
2
6.9
9.3
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
5.0
6.9
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.2
4
2.8
3.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.2
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.