Skip to content
Sunday 5 March 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
22% 27% 51%
Home win
22.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
50.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 22.1% 4.52
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Lazio 50.9% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.09
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.16
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.31
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.7% 2.05
No 51.3% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 49.1% 2.04
Bologna / Lazio 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Lazio 77.9% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
12.1
10.0
5.2
2.0
0.6
1
7.1
12.8
9.4
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
3.7
5.7
4.4
2.3
0.9
0.3
3
1.1
1.8
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.