Saturday 28 January 2017, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
63%
23%
14%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
14.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Chievo | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Lazio / Chievo | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
10.8
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
6.1
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Lazio
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2018
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
Jan 2018
Lazio
5-1
Chievo
Aug 2017
Chievo
1-2
Lazio
Sep 2016
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.