Saturday 14 January 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
56%
26%
18%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Chievo | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Inter / Chievo | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
12.1
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.5
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Inter
2-0
Chievo
Dec 2018
Chievo
1-1
Inter
Apr 2018
Chievo
1-2
Inter
Dec 2017
Inter
5-0
Chievo
Aug 2016
Chievo
2-0
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.