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Sunday 18 December 2016, 13:30 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
37% 25% 38%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
37.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 37.3% 2.68
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Inter 37.7% 2.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.17
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.80
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.4% 1.58
No 36.6% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 62.3% 1.61
Sassuolo / Inter 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Inter 62.7% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
6.2
5.4
2.8
1.1
0.3
1
6.1
11.3
8.4
4.4
1.7
0.5
2
5.3
8.4
6.6
3.5
1.4
0.4
3
2.8
4.4
3.4
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.1
1.7
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.