Friday 2 December 2016, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
55%
24%
21%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
20.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Inter | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Napoli / Inter | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
5.3
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
11.5
|
5.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.7
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Inter
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
3-1
Inter
Mar 2025
Napoli
1-1
Inter
Nov 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Mar 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
0-3
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.