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Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:45 Stadio San Paolo Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
47% 24% 29%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 46.5% 2.15
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Lazio 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.75
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.17
Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.5% 2.66
Over 3.5 40.2% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 4.5 77.7% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.8% 1.57
No 36.2% 2.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Napoli / Lazio 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Lazio 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
5.0
4.0
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
6.6
10.8
7.2
3.4
1.2
0.3
2
6.6
9.2
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
4.0
5.6
3.9
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.8
2.5
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.