Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
47%
24%
29%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
29.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Lazio | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.2% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Napoli / Lazio | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
5.0
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
10.8
|
7.2
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
9.2
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.6
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.5
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2025
Lazio
2-2
Napoli
Dec 2024
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 2024
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.