Skip to content
Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–2
HT 1–0
48% 23% 29%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 47.8% 2.09
Draw 22.8% 4.38
Lazio 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 28.08
Over 1.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.0% 7.67
Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 2.5 32.1% 3.12
Over 3.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 3.5 53.6% 1.86
Over 4.5 27.5% 3.64
Under 4.5 72.5% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.9% 1.47
No 32.1% 3.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Torino / Lazio 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Lazio 52.2% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
4.1
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
1
5.4
9.6
6.9
3.5
1.3
0.4
2
5.9
9.0
6.8
3.5
1.3
0.4
3
3.9
5.9
4.5
2.3
0.9
0.3
4
1.9
2.9
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.