Sunday 16 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
71%
18%
10%
Home win
71.4%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Bologna | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Lazio / Bologna | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
8.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Bologna
0-2
Lazio
Dec 2025
Lazio
1-1
Bologna
Mar 2025
Bologna
5-0
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
3-0
Bologna
Feb 2024
Lazio
1-2
Bologna
Nov 2023
Bologna
1-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.