Saturday 19 November 2016, 19:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
35%
25%
41%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
40.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Napoli | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Udinese / Napoli | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
6.4
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.2
|
8.7
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
8.0
|
6.6
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.0
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Napoli
1-0
Udinese
Dec 2025
Udinese
1-0
Napoli
Feb 2025
Napoli
1-1
Udinese
Dec 2024
Udinese
1-3
Napoli
May 2024
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
4-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.