Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
34%
27%
39%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Lazio | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.3% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Inter / Lazio | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
8.6
|
6.6
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
12.9
|
8.6
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.0
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.5
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Lazio
0-3
Inter
Nov 2025
Inter
2-0
Lazio
May 2025
Inter
2-2
Lazio
Dec 2024
Lazio
0-6
Inter
May 2024
Inter
1-1
Lazio
Dec 2023
Lazio
0-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.