Saturday 10 December 2016, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
32%
28%
40%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
39.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Lazio | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Lazio | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
9.7
|
7.1
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
13.4
|
8.6
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
7.6
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
1-1
Lazio
May 2022
Lazio
2-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Lazio
Feb 2021
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.