Sunday 18 December 2016, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
42%
31%
26%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
26.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 17.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Chievo / Sampdoria | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
10.3
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
14.0
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Chievo
0-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2018
Sampdoria
2-0
Chievo
Mar 2018
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2017
Sampdoria
4-1
Chievo
May 2017
Sampdoria
1-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.