Sunday 14 May 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
51%
26%
23%
Home win
51.1%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Chievo | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Chievo | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
6.6
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
12.5
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.5
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Chievo
0-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2018
Sampdoria
2-0
Chievo
Mar 2018
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2017
Sampdoria
4-1
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.