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Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
56% 24% 19%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
19.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo 56.4% 1.77
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Palermo 19.3% 5.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.23
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.30
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.8% 3.36
Under 3.5 70.2% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.89
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo / Draw 80.7% 1.24
Chievo / Palermo 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Palermo 43.6% 2.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
5.4
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.8
11.6
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.8
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.1
5.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.8
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chievo goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.