Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
75%
18%
8%
Home win
74.8%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
7.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Chievo | 7.7% | 13.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Juventus / Chievo | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
8.2
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.8
|
8.7
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Aug 2018
Chievo
2-3
Juventus
Jan 2018
Chievo
0-2
Juventus
Sep 2017
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-2
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.