Saturday 18 August 2018, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
10%
20%
70%
Home win
9.5%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
70.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 9.5% | 10.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.1% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Juventus | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.7% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Chievo / Juventus | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
13.8
|
14.6
|
10.0
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.3
|
9.0
|
6.1
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
1.3
|
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Jan 2018
Chievo
0-2
Juventus
Sep 2017
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Apr 2017
Juventus
2-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-2
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.