Sunday 6 May 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
29.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Crotone | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Chievo / Crotone | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
9.3
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
13.8
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
8.4
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.