Sunday 22 April 2018, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
52%
26%
22%
Home win
52.2%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
21.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Crotone | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Udinese / Crotone | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
6.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
12.5
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.6
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Crotone
1-2
Udinese
Dec 2020
Udinese
0-0
Crotone
Dec 2017
Crotone
0-3
Udinese
May 2017
Crotone
1-0
Udinese
Dec 2016
Udinese
2-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.