Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 76.0% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Udinese | 8.1% | 12.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Napoli / Udinese | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
7.5
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
9.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.5
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.6
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Napoli
1-0
Udinese
Dec 2025
Udinese
1-0
Napoli
Feb 2025
Napoli
1-1
Udinese
Dec 2024
Udinese
1-3
Napoli
May 2024
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
4-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.