Sunday 11 March 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
28%
26%
46%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
45.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Napoli | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Inter / Napoli | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
8.7
|
7.6
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.2
|
9.3
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
7.1
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.9
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Inter
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
3-1
Inter
Mar 2025
Napoli
1-1
Inter
Nov 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Mar 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
0-3
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.