Saturday 3 March 2018, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
22.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Napoli / AS Roma | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.0
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
12.1
|
5.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Nov 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Napoli
Feb 2025
AS Roma
1-1
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
AS Roma
Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.