Sunday 4 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Full time
4%
11%
85%
Home win
4.0%
Draw
11.2%
Away win
84.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 4.0% | 24.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.2% | 8.90 | — | — |
| Napoli | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.4% | 6.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento / Draw | 15.3% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Benevento / Napoli | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
9.3
|
13.8
|
13.2
|
9.5
|
5.5
|
| 1 |
1.5
|
5.3
|
7.2
|
6.9
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
| 2 |
0.5
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.