Saturday 6 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
88%
9%
4%
Home win
87.6%
Draw
8.9%
Away win
3.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.9% | 11.27 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 3.6% | 28.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 48.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.9% | 11.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Napoli / Hellas Verona | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 12.4% | 8.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
6.6
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.7
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.8
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.6
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Hellas Verona
1-2
Napoli
Jan 2026
Napoli
2-2
Hellas Verona
Jan 2025
Napoli
2-0
Hellas Verona
Aug 2024
Hellas Verona
3-0
Napoli
Feb 2024
Napoli
2-1
Hellas Verona
Oct 2023
Hellas Verona
1-3
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.